Filtration (probability theory)

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Template:Short description In the theory of stochastic processes, a subdiscipline of probability theory, filtrations are totally ordered collections of subsets that are used to model the information that is available at a given point and therefore play an important role in the formalization of random (stochastic) processes.

Definition

Let (Ξ©,π’œ,P) be a probability space and let I be an index set with a total order ≀ (often β„•, ℝ+, or a subset of ℝ+).

For every i∈I let β„±i be a sub-Οƒ-algebra of π’œ. Then

𝔽:=(β„±i)i∈I

is called a filtration, if β„±kβŠ†β„±β„“ for all k≀ℓ. So filtrations are families of Οƒ-algebras that are ordered non-decreasingly.[1] If 𝔽 is a filtration, then (Ξ©,π’œ,𝔽,P) is called a filtered probability space.

Example

Let (Xn)nβˆˆβ„• be a stochastic process on the probability space (Ξ©,π’œ,P). Let Οƒ(Xk∣k≀n) denote the Οƒ-algebra generated by the random variables X1,X2,,Xn. Then

β„±n:=Οƒ(Xk∣k≀n)

is a Οƒ-algebra and 𝔽=(β„±n)nβˆˆβ„• is a filtration.

𝔽 really is a filtration, since by definition all β„±n are Οƒ-algebras and

Οƒ(Xk∣k≀n)βŠ†Οƒ(Xk∣k≀n+1).

This is known as the natural filtration of π’œ with respect to (Xn)nβˆˆβ„•.

Types of filtrations

Right-continuous filtration

If 𝔽=(β„±i)i∈I is a filtration, then the corresponding right-continuous filtration is defined as[2]

𝔽+:=(β„±i+)i∈I,

with

β„±i+:=β‹‚z>iβ„±z.

The filtration 𝔽 itself is called right-continuous if 𝔽+=𝔽.[3]

Complete filtration

Let (Ξ©,β„±,P) be a probability space, and let

𝒩P:={AβŠ†Ξ©βˆ£AβŠ†B for some Bβˆˆβ„± with P(B)=0}

be the set of all sets that are contained within a P-null set.

A filtration 𝔽=(β„±i)i∈I is called a complete filtration, if every β„±i contains 𝒩P. This implies (Ξ©,β„±i,P) is a complete measure space for every i∈I. (The converse is not necessarily true.)

Augmented filtration

A filtration is called an augmented filtration if it is complete and right continuous. For every filtration 𝔽 there exists a smallest augmented filtration 𝔽~ refining 𝔽.

If a filtration is an augmented filtration, it is said to satisfy the usual hypotheses or the usual conditions.[3]

See also

References