Factorial moment

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Template:Short description In probability theory, the factorial moment is a mathematical quantity defined as the expectation or average of the falling factorial of a random variable. Factorial moments are useful for studying non-negative integer-valued random variables,[1] and arise in the use of probability-generating functions to derive the moments of discrete random variables.

Factorial moments serve as analytic tools in the mathematical field of combinatorics, which is the study of discrete mathematical structures.[2]

Definition

For a natural number Template:Math, the Template:Math-th factorial moment of a probability distribution on the real or complex numbers, or, in other words, a random variable Template:Math with that probability distribution, is[3]

E[(X)r]=E[X(X1)(X2)(Xr+1)],

where the Template:Math is the expectation (operator) and

(x)r:=x(x1)(x2)(xr+1)r factorsx!(xr)!

is the falling factorial, which gives rise to the name, although the notation Template:Math varies depending on the mathematical field.Template:Efn Of course, the definition requires that the expectation is meaningful, which is the case if Template:Math or Template:Math.

If Template:Math is the number of successes in Template:Math trials, and Template:Math is the probability that any Template:Math of the Template:Math trials are all successes, then[4]

E[(X)r]=n(n1)(n2)(nr+1)pr

Examples

Poisson distribution

If a random variable Template:Math has a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, then the factorial moments of Template:Math are

E[(X)r]=λr,

which are simple in form compared to its moments, which involve Stirling numbers of the second kind.

Binomial distribution

If a random variable Template:Math has a binomial distribution with success probability Template:MathTemplate:Closed-closed and number of trials Template:Math, then the factorial moments of Template:Math are[5]

E[(X)r]=(nr)prr!=(n)rpr,

where by convention, (nr) and (n)r are understood to be zero if r > n.

Hypergeometric distribution

If a random variable Template:Math has a hypergeometric distribution with population size Template:Math, number of success states Template:Math} in the population, and draws Template:Math}, then the factorial moments of Template:Math are [5]

E[(X)r]=(Kr)(nr)r!(Nr)=(K)r(n)r(N)r.

Beta-binomial distribution

If a random variable Template:Math has a beta-binomial distribution with parameters Template:Math, Template:Math, and number of trials Template:Math, then the factorial moments of Template:Math are

E[(X)r]=(nr)B(α+r,β)r!B(α,β)=(n)rB(α+r,β)B(α,β)

Calculation of moments

The rth raw moment of a random variable X can be expressed in terms of its factorial moments by the formula

E[Xr]=j=1r{rj}E[(X)j],

where the curly braces denote Stirling numbers of the second kind.

See also

Notes

Template:Notelist

References

Template:Reflist

  1. D. J. Daley and D. Vere-Jones. An introduction to the theory of point processes. Vol. I. Probability and its Applications (New York). Springer, New York, second edition, 2003
  2. Template:Cite book
  3. Template:Cite book
  4. P.V.Krishna Iyer. "A Theorem on Factorial Moments and its Applications". Annals of Mathematical Statistics Vol. 29 (1958). Pages 254-261.
  5. 5.0 5.1 Template:Cite journal