Chapman–Robbins bound

From testwiki
Jump to navigation Jump to search

In statistics, the Chapman–Robbins bound or Hammersley–Chapman–Robbins bound is a lower bound on the variance of estimators of a deterministic parameter. It is a generalization of the Cramér–Rao bound; compared to the Cramér–Rao bound, it is both tighter and applicable to a wider range of problems. However, it is usually more difficult to compute.

The bound was independently discovered by John Hammersley in 1950,[1] and by Douglas Chapman and Herbert Robbins in 1951.[2]

Statement

Let Θ be the set of parameters for a family of probability distributions {μθ:θ∈Θ} on Ω.

For any two θ,θ′∈Θ, let χ2(μθ′;μθ) be the χ2-divergence from μθ to μθ′. Then:

Template:Math theorem

A generalization to the multivariable case is:[3]

Template:Math theorem

Proof

By the variational representation of chi-squared divergence:[3]χ2(P;Q)=supg(EP[g]−EQ[g])2VarQ[g] Plug in g=ĝ,P=μθ′,Q=μθ, to obtain: χ2(μθ′;μθ)≥(Eθ′[ĝ]−Eθ[ĝ])2Varθ[ĝ]Switch the denominator and the left side and take supremum over θ′ to obtain the single-variate case. For the multivariate case, we define h=∑i=1mviĝi for any v≠0∈ℝm. Then plug in g=h in the variational representation to obtain: χ2(μθ′;μθ)≥(Eθ′[h]−Eθ[h])2Varθ[h]=⟨v,Eθ′[ĝ]−Eθ[ĝ]⟩2vTCovθ[ĝ]vTake supremum over v≠0∈ℝm, using the linear algebra fact that supv≠0vTwwTvvTMv=wTM−1w, we obtain the multivariate case.

Relation to Cramér–Rao bound

Usually, Ω=𝒳n is the sample space of n independent draws of a 𝒳-valued random variable X with distribution λθ from a by θ∈Θ⊆ℝm parameterized family of probability distributions, μθ=λθ⊗n is its n-fold product measure, and ĝ:𝒳n→Θ is an estimator of θ. Then, for m=1, the expression inside the supremum in the Chapman–Robbins bound converges to the Cramér–Rao bound of ĝ when θ′→θ, assuming the regularity conditions of the Cramér–Rao bound hold. This implies that, when both bounds exist, the Chapman–Robbins version is always at least as tight as the Cramér–Rao bound; in many cases, it is substantially tighter.

The Chapman–Robbins bound also holds under much weaker regularity conditions. For example, no assumption is made regarding differentiability of the probability density function p(x; θ) of λθ. When p(x; θ) is non-differentiable, the Fisher information is not defined, and hence the Cramér–Rao bound does not exist.

See also

References

Template:Reflist

Further reading