File:Base rate fallacy with vaccines.svg
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Summary
| Description |
English: Diagram showing an example of the base rate fallacy, using Covid hospitalization rates. The 50% versus 10% hospitalization rates are extremely exaggerated and should be read as just an illustration. Covid never had a 50% hospitalization rate. A better comparison would use more realistic hospitalization rates in different age groups. After testing became less common it is highly uncertain how many people are infected with covid. The effectiveness of the commonly used vaccines against the novel variants of covid is likewise uncertain. In the example, there are more vaccinated people than unvaccinated people hospitalized (leftmost circle), but that's only because in the general population there are more vaccinated people than unvaccinated (rightmost diagram, with green circle representing the unvaccinated population, pink circle representing the vaccinated population, and the black circle representing hospitalized people. This diagram is just a visual made to illustrate the concept, not a specific data set.
Português: Diagrama mostrando um exemplo da falácia da taxa-base, usando as taxas de hospitalização da Covid. As taxas de hospitalização de 50% contra 10% são extremamente exageradas e devem ser lidas apenas como ilustração. A Covid nunca teve uma taxa de hospitalização de 50%. Uma comparação melhor utilizaria taxas de internação mais realistas em diferentes faixas etárias. Depois que os testes se tornaram menos comuns, é altamente incerto quantas pessoas estão infectadas com cobiça. A eficácia das vacinas habitualmente utilizadas contra as novas variantes da covid-19 também é incerta. No exemplo, há mais pessoas vacinadas do que não vacinadas hospitalizadas (círculo mais à esquerda), mas isso ocorre apenas porque na população em geral há mais pessoas vacinadas do que não vacinadas (diagrama mais à direita, com o círculo verde representando a população não vacinada, o círculo rosa representando a população vacinada população e o círculo preto representando pessoas hospitalizadas. Este diagrama é apenas um elemento visual feito para ilustrar o conceito, não um conjunto de dados específico. |
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| Other versions | File:Base rate fallacy with vaccines.svg has 3 embedded translations. |
| SVG development |  This diagram was created with an unknown SVG tool. This diagram is translated using SVG switch elements: all translations are stored in the same file. |
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File history
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| Date/Time | Thumbnail | Dimensions | User | Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | 06:57, 11 July 2025 | | 3,000 × 1,300 (14 KB) | wikimediacommons>Opencooper | rm unnecessary hyphen; proper multiplication sign; dot for abbreviation |
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