Uzawa's theorem

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Uzawa's theorem, also known as the steady-state growth theorem, is a theorem in economic growth that identifies the necessary functional form of technological change for achieving a balanced growth path in the Solow–Swan and Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans growth models. It was proved by Japanese economist Hirofumi Uzawa in 1961.[1]

A general version of the theorem consists of two parts.[2][3] The first states that, under the normal assumptions of the Solow-Swan and Ramsey models, if capital, investment, consumption, and output are increasing at constant exponential rates, these rates must be equivalent. The second part asserts that, within such a balanced growth path, the production function, Y=F~(A~,K,L) (where A is technology, K is capital, and L is labor), can be rewritten such that technological change affects output solely as a scalar on labor (i.e. Y=F(K,AL)) a property known as labor-augmenting or Harrod-neutral technological change.

Uzawa's theorem demonstrates a limitation of the Solow-Swan and Ramsey models. Imposing the assumption of balanced growth within such models requires that technological change be labor-augmenting. Conversely, a production function that cannot represent the effect of technology as a scalar augmentation of labor cannot produce a balanced growth path.[2]

Statement

Throughout this page, a dot over a variable will denote its derivative concerning time (i.e. X˙(t)dX(t)dt). Also, the growth rate of a variable X(t) will be denoted gXX˙(t)X(t).

Uzawa's theorem

The following version is found in Acemoglu (2009) and adapted from Schlicht (2006):

Model with aggregate production function Y(t)=F~(A~(t),K(t),L(t)), where F~:+2×𝒜+ and A~(t)𝒜 represents technology at time t (where 𝒜 is an arbitrary subset of N for some natural number N). Assume that F~ exhibits constant returns to scale in K and L. The growth in capital at time t is given by

K˙(t)=Y(t)C(t)δK(t)

where δ is the depreciation rate and C(t) is consumption at time t.

Suppose that population grows at a constant rate, L(t)=exp(nt)L(0), and that there exists some time T< such that for all tT, Y˙(t)/Y(t)=gY>0, K˙(t)/K(t)=gK>0, and C˙(t)/C(t)=gC>0. Then

1. gY=gK=gC; and

2. There exists a function F:+2+ that is homogeneous of degree 1 in its two arguments such that, for any tT, the aggregate production function can be represented as Y(t)=F(K(t),A(t)L(t)), where A(t)+ and gA˙(t)/A(t)=gYn.

Sketch of proof

Lemma 1

For any constant α, gXαY=αgX+gY.

Proof: Observe that for any Z(t), gZ=Z˙(t)Z(t)=dlnZ(t)dt. Therefore, gXαY=ddtln[(X(t))αY(t)]=αdlnX(t)dt+dlnY(t)dt=αgX+gY.

Proof of theorem

We first show that the growth rate of investment I(t)=Y(t)C(t) must equal the growth rate of capital K(t) (i.e. gI=gK)

The resource constraint at time t implies

K˙(t)=I(t)δK(t)

By definition of gK, K˙(t)=gKK(t) for all tT . Therefore, the previous equation implies

gK+δ=I(t)K(t)

for all tT. The left-hand side is a constant, while the right-hand side grows at gIgK (by Lemma 1). Therefore, 0=gIgK and thus

gI=gK.

From national income accounting for a closed economy, final goods in the economy must either be consumed or invested, thus for all t

Y(t)=C(t)+I(t)

Differentiating with respect to time yields

Y˙(t)=C˙(t)+I˙(t)

Dividing both sides by Y(t) yields

Y˙(t)Y(t)=C˙(t)Y(t)+I˙(t)Y(t)=C˙(t)C(t)C(t)Y(t)+I˙(t)I(t)I(t)Y(t)
gY=gCC(t)Y(t)+gII(t)Y(t)=gCC(t)Y(t)+gI(1C(t)Y(t))=(gCgI)C(t)Y(t)+gI

Since gY,gC and gI are constants, C(t)Y(t) is a constant. Therefore, the growth rate of C(t)Y(t) is zero. By Lemma 1, it implies that

gcgY=0

Similarly, gY=gI. Therefore, gY=gC=gK.

Next we show that for any tT, the production function can be represented as one with labor-augmenting technology.

The production function at time T is

Y(T)=F~(A~(T),K(T),L(T))

The constant return to scale property of production (F~ is homogeneous of degree one in K and L) implies that for any tT, multiplying both sides of the previous equation by Y(t)Y(T) yields

Y(T)Y(t)Y(T)=F~(A~(T),K(T)Y(t)Y(T),L(T)Y(t)Y(T))

Note that Y(t)Y(T)=K(t)K(T) because gY=gK(refer to solution to differential equations for proof of this step). Thus, the above equation can be rewritten as

Y(t)=F~(A~(T),K(t),L(T)Y(t)Y(T))

For any tT, define

A(t)Y(t)L(t)L(T)Y(T)

and

F(K(t),A(t)L(t))F~(A~(T),K(t),L(t)A(t))

Combining the two equations yields

F(K(t),A(t)L(t))=F~(A~(T),K(t),L(T)Y(t)Y(T))=Y(t) for any tT.

By construction, F(K,AL) is also homogeneous of degree one in its two arguments.

Moreover, by Lemma 1, the growth rate of A(t) is given by

A˙(t)A(t)=Y˙(t)Y(t)L˙(t)L(t)=gYn.

See also

References

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