Arcsine laws (Wiener process)

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Template:Short description In probability theory, the arcsine laws are a collection of results for one-dimensional random walks and Brownian motion (the Wiener process). The best known of these is attributed to Template:Harvs.

All three laws relate path properties of the Wiener process to the arcsine distribution. A random variable X on [0,1] is arcsine-distributed if

Pr[Xx]=2πarcsin(x),x[0,1].

Statement of the laws

Throughout we suppose that (Wt)0  ≤ t ≤ 1 ∈ R is the one-dimensional Wiener process on [0,1]. Scale invariance ensures that the results can be generalised to Wiener processes run for t ∈[0,∞).

First (Lévy's) arcsine law

The first arcsine law states that the proportion of time that the one-dimensional Wiener process is positive follows an arcsine distribution. Let

T+=|{t[0,1]:Wt>0}|

be the measure of the set of times in [0,1] at which the Wiener process is positive. Then T+ is arcsine distributed.

Second arcsine law

The second arcsine law describes the distribution of the last time the Wiener process changes sign. Let

L=sup{t[0,1]:Wt=0}

be the time of the last zero. Then L is arcsine distributed.

Third arcsine law

The third arcsine law states that the time at which a Wiener process achieves its maximum is arcsine distributed.

The statement of the law relies on the fact that the Wiener process has an almost surely unique maxima,[1] and so we can define the random variable M which is the time at which the maxima is achieved. i.e. the unique M such that

WM=sup{Ws:s[0,1]}.

Then M is arcsine distributed.

Equivalence of the second and third laws

Defining the running maximum process Mt of the Wiener process

Mt=sup{Ws:s[0,t]},

then the law of Xt = Mt − Wt has the same law as a reflected Wiener process |Bt| (where Bt is a Wiener process independent of Wt).[1]

Since the zeros of B and |B| coincide, the last zero of X has the same distribution as L, the last zero of the Wiener process. The last zero of X occurs exactly when W achieves its maximum.[1] It follows that the second and third laws are equivalent.

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 Morters, Peter and Peres, Yuval, Brownian Motion, Chapter 2.

References